What are my chances of getting a shiny in my scenario?

I've been breeding a level 82 ditto (not shiny) that i caught myself with a male level 44 french (i heard somewher that the country the pokemon comes from if it was traded matters as well, its also not shiny) espurr that got traded to me. I've been trying to breed them for hours and hours and I'm starting to worry because espurr isn't naitive to the hoenn region (I'm playing alpha sapphire). I'm very aware that shinies don't just happen over night and that I gotta work hard, but I just wanna make sure im actually doing things right.