Are you guaranteed to get the rare special item in a case if it appears?

So I just got Prime status in CS:GO and wanted to open my first case. I saw on YouTube and other platforms that when a yellow boy slides by in cases (Rare special items), people seem to always get them instead of miss them. So my question is: Are you guaranteed to get the rare special item when it appears on the case?

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Best Answer

No, there are no guarantees that you'll get something, it's all by chance. As far as I'm aware these drop rates have to made public due to gambling laws in China and other places. That being said there are a couple of stats available online that are shared through Chinese communities as well as some people online testing it for themselves.

Category 1: Weapon boxes that require a key to open

Mil-spec (Blue): 79.923%
Restricted (Purple): 15.985%
Classified (Pink): 3.197%
Covert (Orange): 0.639%
Exceedingly Rare (Yellow): 0.256%


Class 11: Capsules containing premium, exotic quality prints

Normal Drops: 83.333%
Rare Drops: 16.667%

And so on...

What you see on YouTube and other sites are usually edited to make it seem like they're getting constant winning, usually to boost viewership.

Pictures about "Are you guaranteed to get the rare special item in a case if it appears?"

Are you guaranteed to get the rare special item in a case if it appears? - Cordless electric screwdriver placed on case on wooden surface near screw set with bolts and nails on street on blurred background

Are you guaranteed to get the rare special item in a case if it appears? - From above of container with assorted instruments placed on wooden surface near screwdriver and black case on street in sunlight

Are you guaranteed to get the rare special item in a case if it appears? - From above of textbook with exercises and ruler with pens near small case on table

What are the chances of getting rare special item?

For Rare Special Items, its relative probability to Covert items is 2:5....Probability.QualityNormal Variant ProbabilityStatTrak Variant ProbabilityRare Special Items0.25575%0.02558%Covert0.63939%0.6394%Classified3.19693%0.31969%Restricted15.98465%1.59847%1 more row

What are the chances of getting a rare item in a CSGO case?

The CSGO case ratios were created by real human developers so the actual rarities could just be round numbers near Anomaly's pull rate. Restricted could be 15%, Classified 3%, and Covert could be either . 66% or 1%. In traditional Valve fashion, it could be much more complex under the surface.

Is it possible to miss a knife CSGO?

It was possible to miss the yellow symbol back before summer 2018. With the Horizon UI update, they got rid of it. However it was only possible to miss the yellow symbol at the very first few skins running by, so basically at the very start of the opening animation. You couldn't miss it by one field or stuff like that.

What is the rare special item in CS GO?

The Exceedingly Rare Special Item is YELLOW according to the crate description. Purple is Classified. Strange aka StatTrak are Orange versions of weapons. And on top of that there are different finishes, NEW being the best.

i opened 1000 fracture cases... and got the rare special item!

Sources: Stack Exchange - This article follows the attribution requirements of Stack Exchange and is licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0.

Images: Anete Lusina, Anete Lusina, Anete Lusina, Katerina Holmes